Approach & Process
Structural Classification Methodology
Curvature Diagnostics™ applies a deterministic structural framework to classify system posture under evolving stress conditions.
Rather than modeling returns or optimizing allocations, the framework evaluates whether prevailing conditions reflect routine fluctuation or the accumulation of structural strain. The emphasis is not on magnitude alone, but on the interaction between systemic load and available absorption capacity.
Classification is derived from fixed normalization boundaries rather than rolling percentiles or distribution-sensitive thresholds. This design ensures stability, transparency, and reproducibility across time.
The framework functions as a structural overlay within broader risk architecture. It provides contextual clarity without replacing existing volatility, correlation, liquidity, or stress-testing models.
Process
Stress Load Aggregation
Normalized measures of volatility expansion, correlation tightening, liquidity contraction, and dispersion compression are aggregated into a composite systemic load index.
Adaptive Capacity Aggregation
Structural stabilizers — including diversification effectiveness, liquidity elasticity, and cross-asset differentiation — are aggregated into a composite absorption capacity index.
Structural Interaction Modeling
The interaction between stress load and adaptive capacity is isolated using a deterministic coupling framework designed to measure structural posture rather than surface magnitude.
Residual Capacity Calculation
Remaining structural flexibility is computed after accounting for prevailing stress load.
Regime Classification
Residual capacity is mapped to defined structural postures: Balanced, Adaptive, or Strained. Persistence metrics track duration within each regime.
Outputs are generated within a version-controlled, fixed-asset architecture to ensure auditability and historical continuity.